Документ подписан электронной подписью

жүктеу/скачать 2,08 Mb.

Pdf көрінісі

бет	2/14
Дата	20.10.2023
өлшемі	2,08 Mb.
	#119824

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 ... 14

Байланысты:
22-Teor-veroyatn-i-matstat

" 03 "

$!& 9
484K4 1.

B8AB@ EFDGK>9 7BDBI4 4 7BDBL<9, 4 6 8DG7B@ 3
E@BDM9AAO9 < 4 7?48><9. O54:8B7B EFDGK>4. 4>B64
69DBSFABEFP FB7B, KFB B59 7BDBL<9?

484K4 2.

!4 H9D@9 <; 12 >BDB6 3 5B?PAO9. 4>B64 69DBSFABEFP FB7B, KFB <; 4 6O5D4AAOI
A4G84KG >BDB6 1 5B?PA4S?

484K4 3.

9DBSFABEFP FB7B, KFB CD<:<6ёFES E4:9A9J 7DGL< –
0,7, S5?BA< –
0,8. #BE48B8AB@G E4:9AJG S5?BA< < 7DGL<. !4=F< 69DBSFABEFP FB7B, KFB A9 CD<:<6ёFES A< B8E4:9A9J.

10
484K4 4.

9DBSFABEFP A96OIB84 6 D9=E 46FB@4L-
;4 A9S6>< A4 D45BFG 6B80,03, 4 <;
-
;4 A90,2. "CD989?46FB@4L
484K4 5.

$45BK<= B5E?G:<649F FD< EF4A>4, D45BF4RMF9K9A<9 K4E4 A9 CBFD95G9F 6A<@4A –
0,9; 6FBDB= –
0,8; FD9F<= –
0,85. !4=F< 69DBSFABEFP FB7B, KFB 6 F9K9A<9 K4E4 864 EF4A>4 CBFD95GRF 6A<@4AD45BK97B.

484K4 6.

#SFA48J4FP Q>;4@9A4JBFBDO9 A9
CB6FBDSRFES. ->;4@9AGRM<=ES @B:9F BF69FB A4 25 6BCDBEB6. "CD989?69DBSFABEFP FB7B, KFB Q>;4@9A 5G89F E84A, 9E?< 8?S QFB7B 8BEF4FBKAB BF69F6BCDBE4 <; B8AB7B 58BCB?AB64 69DBSFABEFP FB7B, KFB EFG89AF E84?
Q>;4@9A, BF69F<6 A4 6BCDBEO <; B8AB7B 5

" 03 "

$!& 10
484K4 1.

'9?B69> ;45O? A4K4?B < >BA9J F9?9HBAAB7B AB@9D4, AB CB@AC9D64S JAB@9D4 BF 1 8B 6, 4 CBE?98ASS BF 7 8B 9. 4>B64 69DBSFABEFP A4G84KG A45D4FP AB@9D 69DAB?

484K4 2.

; 9 ?45BD4FBDAOI @OL9= 7 64>JB64 69DBSFABEFP FB7B, KFB <; 5
A4G84KG 6O5D4AAOI @OL9= 3 64>J
484K4 3.

%FG89AF <;GK49F I<@G < 5CB?GKGDE4@ D46A4 EBBF69FEF69AAB 1/2, 1/3,1/4. CD98CB?B:9A<<, KFB
BJ9A>< EFG89AF4 CB FDё@ >GDE4@ A9;46A< B8AB= «CSFёD><».

484K4 4.

9DBSFABEFP CDBEFBS >B@54=A4 6 F9K9A<9 E@9AO <;
-
;4 D4;?48><
D46A4 0,1, <;
-
;4
A9CB86B;4 7BDRK97B –
0,2. "CD989?B@54=A4 6 F9K9A<9 E@9AO.

484K4 5.

64 EFD9?>4 EFD9?SRF CB BK9D98<, AB A9 5B?99 FDёI D4; >4:8O=. #B598EKFB C9D6O@ CBC48ёF 6 @BA< CBC484RF 6
@<= EFD9?B>,
9E?< BA A4K4? EFD9?SFP C9D6O@.

484K4 6.

!4 B5M<= >BA69=9D CBEFGC4RF G;?O, <;7BFB6?9AAO9 86G@S D45BK<@<.
#DB<;6B85D4> 8?S C9D6B7B D45BK97B 0,075, 4 8?S 6FBDB7B 0,09. !4=F< 69DBSFABEFP, KFB CBEFGC<6L<=
A4 B5M<= >BA69=9D G;9? 5G89F <@9FP 5D4>. 4>B64 69DBSFABEFP, KFB G;9?, B>4;46L<=ES
5D4>B64AAO@, <;7BFB6?9A 6FBDO@ D45BK<@?

" 03 "

$!& 11
484K4 1.

11
C9D6B= C4DF<< <; 10 JOC?SF 6 >GDBK9>, 6B 6FBDB= –
5. 4>B64 69DBSFABEFP,
E?GK4=AB 6O5G <; C4DF<<, 6O5D4FP 86GI >GDBK9>?

484K4 2.

%D98< 10 8BABDB6 4 <@9RF C9D6GR 7DGCCG >DB6<. 4>B64 69DBSFABEFP FB7B, KFB <;
2
A4G84KG 6O5D4AAOI 8BABDB6 B8DB6
484K4 3.

C4DF<< <; 50 Q?9>FD <@99FES 3 A9EF4A84DFAOI. !4=F<
69DBSFABEFP FB7B, KFB 869 CBE?98B64F9?PAB 6;SFO9 B8A4 ;4 8DG7B= ?4@CBK>< B>4:GFES
A9EF4A84DFAO@<.

484K4 4.

9DBSFABEFP CB6D9:89A?G5A9= >4DFBH9?S 6E?98EF6<9 G5BD>< 97B
>4DFBH9?9G5BDBKAO@ >B@54=AB@ D46A4 0,05. 9DBSFABEFP CB6D9:89AFD4AECBDF< < D4;7DG;>< D46A4 0,01. "CD989??G5A9=.

484K4 5.

; 5 >?RK9= > ;4@>G CB8IB8DOFP 869DP, BF>?48O64S A9
CB8BL98L<9 >?RK< 6 EFBDBAG. !4=F< 69DBSFABEFP, KFB 8?S BF>DOF5B?99 FDёI CBCOFB>.

484K4 6.

#B>GC4F9?P CDFDB?4@CBK>G. ;69EFAB, KFB 6 @B@9AF
CB>GC>< C4DF?4@CBK9> EB89D:4?4 60% CDB8G>J<< @9EFAB7B CD98CDK4EB6 D45BF4RF 59;BF>4;AB >4:8O9 90 <; 100 ?4@CBK9> @9EFAB7B ;46B84 < 80 <; 100
GC?9AA4S ?4@CBK>4 CDBD45BF49F 500 K4EB6. 4>B64
69DBSFABEFP FB7B, KFB
?4@CBK>4, CDBD45BF46L4S 500 K4EB6 59;BF>4;AB, @9EFAB7B
CDB<;6B8EF64?

" 03 "

$!& 12
484K4 1.

D4K A4;A4KG?PH4A< B84AF<5B6, AB 5B?PAB= ;45O?, >4><9 <@9AAB. 4>B64 69DBSFABEFP FB7B, KFB CD<
E?GK4=AB@ 6O5BD9 5B?PAB= 6OCP9F AG:AO9 ?9>4DEF64?

484K4 2.

4>64D 4 ;B?BFOI. 4>B64 69DBSFABEFP FB7B, KFB <; E?GK4=AB
BF?B6?9AAOI 3 DO5B> 1 ;B?BF4S?

484K4 3.

9DAB 8?S CBE964 CB869D74?BEP FDё@ BK4@. ;69EFAB, KFB 69DBSFABEFP
CDBIB:89AB6 K9D9; C9D6GR BKG D46A4 0,2, K9D9; 6FBDGR –
0,1, K9D9; FD9FPR –
0,05. 4>B64 69DBSFABEFP CDBIB:89AB6 K9D9; 6E9 FD< BK
484K4 4.

C4>9F9 E E9@9A4@< C9D9@9L4AO E9@9A4 59?OI, DB;B6OI < >D4EAOI 76B;8<>.
;69EFAB, KFB 20% <; AE9@9A4 59?OI 76B;8<>, 4 40% –
>D4EAOI. !4=F< 69DBSFABEFP
FB7B, KFB <; A4G84KG 6;SFB7B E9@9A< 6;B=8ёF A9 >D4EA4S 76B;8<>4.

484K4 5.

GDA9 2 59?OI, 3 KёDAOI <
5 >D4EAOI L4DB6. !4G748 <;6?9>4RF FD< L4D4. !4=F<
69DBSFABEFP, KFB BA< B8AB7B J69F4.

484K4 6.

';?O CBEFGC4RF A4 B5M<= >BA69=9D E 86GI GK4EF>B6. 9DBSFABEFP
5D4>4 G;?4 E
C9D6B7B GK4EF>4 0,05, EB 6FBDB7B –
0,1. FBDB= GK4EFB> <@99F CDB<;6B8CB?FBD4 D4;4 5B?PL9, K9@ C9D6O=. !4=F< 69DBSFABEFP
FB7B, KFB 6;SFO= E >BA69=9D4 G;9?

12
B>4:9FES 7B8AO@. 4>B64 69DBSFABEFP FB7B, KFB 7B8AO= G;9? <;7BFB6?9A A4 C9D6B@
GK4EF>9?

" 03 "

$!& 13
484K4 1.

B8AB@ SM<>9 A4IB8SFES ?G>B6D4EAOI <
5 :9?FOI FR?PC4AB6, 6 8DG7B@ –
7
>D4EAOI < 3 :ё?FOI. ;S?< CB B8AB= ?G>B64:8B7B
SM<>4 < CBE48B64
69DBSFABEFP FB7B, KFB 6OD4EFGF 2 >D4EAOI FR?PC4A4?

484K4 2.

C9 <; 10 B59;PSA 2 <@9RF BFD-
H4>FBD. 4>B64
69DBSFABEFP,
KFB <; 4 A4G84KG 6O5D4AAOI B59;PSA 1 <@99F BFD-
H4>FBD?

484K4 3.

"CD989?C9D6BEBDFAO@, 9E?< <;69EFAB, KFB 4% 6E9= CDB8G>J<< –
5D4>, 4 75% 8B5DB>4K9EF69AAOI
<;89?<= –
C9D6BEBDFAO9
.

484K4 4.

#BE48E4:9A9J S5?BA<, D46A4 0,9, E4:9A9J 7DGL< –
0,8. !4=F< 69DBSFABEFP FB7B, KFB CD<:<6ёFES
IBFS 5O B8
484K4 5.

; FDёI BDG8<= CDB<;6B8SF ;4?C CB J9?<. 9DBSFABEFP CBC484A6OEFD9?9 8?S C9D6B7B BDG8EBBF69FEF69AAB 0,8 <
0,6. !4=F< 69DBSFABEFP FB7B, KFB FB?P>B B8AB BDG8<9 CBC48ёF 6
J9?P.

484K4 6.

#9D6B9 BDG8<9 K9FODёI
BDG8<=AB= 54F4D9< CD, KFB
69DBSFABEFP
CBC484AJ9?< 8BEF4FBKAB B8AB7B CBC484ACDB<;69?< CB 6OEFD9?G. !4=F<
69DBSFABEFP CBD4:9AB64 69DBSFABEFP FB7B, KFB C9D6B9 BDG8<9 EFD9?S?B, 9E?<
J9?P B>4;4?4EP CBD4:ёAAB=?

" 03 "

$!& 14
484K4 1.

64 <7DB>4 5DBE4RF <7D4?PAO9 >BEF<. 4>B64 69DBSFABEFP FB7B, KFB EG@@4
6OC46LB6 D46A4 10?

484K4 2.

; 10 BF69FB6 > ;484K4@, CB@9M9AAO@ A4 84AAB= EFD4A<.
%FG89AF D9L49F 5 ;484K. 4>B64 69DBSFABEFP FB7B, KFB > B8AB= <; ABC9K4F>B=?

484K4 3.

"F 4QDB6B>;4?4 BFCD46-
Q>ECD9EE4 > FD4C4@ E4@B?ёFB6.
9DBSFABEFP E6B96D9@9AAB7B CD<5OF4:8B7B 0,97. !4=F< 69DBSFABEFP FB7B,
KFB B54 46FB5GE4 CD<8GF 6B6D9@S.

484K4 4.

9DBSFABEFP FB7B, KFB C9D6O= EFG89AF D9L0,85, 4
69DBSFABEFP FB7B, KFB 6FBDB= EFG89AF D9L0,9. !4=F< 69DBSFABEFP FB7B,
KFB ;484K4 5G89F D9L9A4, 9E?< EFG89AFO D9L4RF 9ё A9;46

13
484K4 5.

?S >BAFDB?S ;4 D45BFB= ?GEFDB=EF64, >BFBDO9 ED454FO64RF CD< 464D<< E 69DBSFABEFPR 0,8; 0,9 < 0,95
EBBF69FEF69AAB. !4=F< 69DBSFABEFP, KFB CD< 464D<< ED45BF49F 864 GEFDB=EF64.

484K4 6.

?S E<7A4?<;4J<< B A9CB?48>9 6 D45BF9 46FB@4FB= ?4FBD, CD B8AB@G <; FDёI F>BFBDOI 69DBSFABEF< ED454FO64AEBBF69FEF69AAB 1,0; 0,75 < 0,4. !4=F< 69DBSFABEFP, KFB 4FBD ED454FO649F CD<
A9CB?48>9 6 D45BF9 ?B64 69DBSFABEFP, KFB 8?S >BAFDB?S 4FBD
1-
7B F9?

" 03 "

$!& 15
484K4 1.

CBCG?SJ<< 8<>DB?<>B6 6 ED98A9@ <; 100 E4@JB6 10 <@9RF
K9DAGR B>D4E>G, 5
–
>BDB5O>AB69AAGR CSFAB>D4E>9 E4@><. %KD9M<64A<9 CDBC4DO CD< E>D9M<64A<< 100 E4@JB6 < 100 E4@B>.
484K4 2.

; 10 @OL9= CB?B64.
4>B64 69DBSFABEFP FB7B, KFB A4 7 A4G84KG BFB5D4AAOI @OL9= 4 CB?GK4RF D4JCB6OL9AAO@ EB89D:4A<9@ 59?>4?

484K4 3.

#D< FD4AECBDF9 64:8OI 100 SM<>B6 5 B>4;O649FES E
B6
6

484K4 4.

64 K9?B69>4 5B?PAO ;45B?964A<9@, 8?S >BFBDB7B >BQHHEBEF46?S9F 99%. !4=F< 69DBSFABEFP FB7B, KFB, CB >D4=A9= @9D9, B86O;8BDB699F.

484K4 5.

&D< EFD9?>4 6OEFD9?8?S A86GI D4;.

484K4 6.

&D4A; B8AB= <; FDёI C4DF<= E 69DBSFABEFS@< 0,25; 0,5 < 0,25.
9DBSFABEFP FB7B, KFB FD4A;K4EB6, 8?S QFD46A4 EBBF69FEF69AAB 0,8; 0,8 < 0,6. "CD989?;484AAB9 KB64 69DBSFABEFP FB7B, KFB CDBD45BF46L<= ;484AAB9 KFD4A;
" 03 "

$!& 16
484K4 1.

6B8Bё@9 <; 10 E4@B> >4DC4 K9LG=K4FOI 8, 4 <; 20 E4@JB6 K9LG=K4FOI 12. 4>B64
69DBSFABEFP K9LG=K4FB= C4DO CD< GE?B6<< E?GK4=AB7B E>D9M<64A484K4 2.

14
; 12 ?G>B6BFBDOI 5 ?G>B6D4EAOI FR?PC4AB6 < 7 :ё?FOI, A4G84KG
6O5B64 69DBSFABEFP FB7B, KFB <; AD4EAOI < 864 :ё?FOI
FR?PC4A4?

484K4 3.

#D< FD4AECBDF9 64:8OI 100 SM<>B6 B84;O649FES E
B6 E 6CBEFGC<6L, A< 6 B8AB@ A9 5G89F

484K4 4.

9DBSFABEFP FB7B, KFB A4 ;4KёF9 EFG89AF D9L<; 6FBDB7B –
0,75. CD98CB?B:9A<<, KFB QF< D4;89?O A9;46KFB EFG89AF E84EF ;4KёF, 9E?< 8?S QFB7B AG:AB D9L9@G ;484K D4;AOI D4;89?B6.

484K4 5.

' @4?PK<>4 <@99FES 4 @BA9FO, A4 >BFBDO9 BA IBK9F 6OC69DBSFABEFPR 0,1 46FB@4F 7?BF49F @BA9FG, A9 A4?<64S 6B8O. 4>B64 69DBSFABEFP, KFB
@4?PK<> CBCPёF, A9
484K4 6.

E9@< GDA4I EB89D:< 3 KёDAOI L4D4. 4>B64 69DBSFABEFP, KFB <; GDAO, 6;SFB= A4G84KG, 5G89F <;6?9KёA 59?O=
L4D? !4=F< 69DBSFABEFP, KFB L4D <;6?9KёA <; GDAO E 7 59?O@< < 3 KёDAO@< L4D4@<, 9E?<
BA B>4;4?ES 59?O@.

" 03 "

$!& 17
484K4 1.

; 86GI >B?B8 CB 36 >4DF A4G84KG 6O54DF9. 4>B64 69DBSFABEFP
FB7B, KFB B59 >4DFO >D4EAO9?

484K4 2.

CB@ёF9 2 DO:4 < 5 K9DAOI. !4G84KG 6O5B6. 4>B64
69DBSFABEFP FB7B, KFB B8
484K4 3.

!4=F< 69DBSFABEFP FB7B, KFB S5?B>< 6B 6;SFB@ A4G84KG EB E>?484
SM<>9 5G8GF
C9D6B7B EBDF4, 9E?< SM<>< E S5?B>4@< C9D6B7B EBDF4 EBEF46?SRF 70% 6E9I SM<>B6 E
8B5DB>4K9EF69AAO@< S5?B>4@<, 4 CDBJ9AF SM<>B6 E A98B5DB>4K9EF69AAO@< S5?B>4@<
D469A 80.

484K4 4.

CBCG?SJ<< 8DB;BHDO?P96. E?< <;
CBCG?SJ<< 6O54>B64 69DBSFABEFP FB7B, KFB IBFS 5O G B8AB=
<; ADO?P96.

484K4 5.

; >B?B8O 6 36 >4DF CBE?98B64F9?PAB <;6?9>4RF B8AG ;4 8DG7B= FD< >4DFO 59;
6B;6D4M9A
484K4 6.

%F4AB> 30% 6D9@9A< B5D454FO649F 89F4?P < 70% –
89F4?P . #D< B5D45BF>9
89F4?< BA CDBEF4<649F 10% 6D9@9A<, 4 89F4?< –
15%. 4>B64 69DBSFABEFP ;4EF4FP
EF4AB> CDBEF4<64RM<@? !4=F< 69DBSFABEFP, KFB EF4AB>, >BFBDO= ;4EF4?<
CDBEF4<64RM<@, A4IB8< 89F4?< .

" 03 "

15
$!& 18
484K4 1.

DBE4RFES 3 <7D4?PAO9 >BEF<. 4>B64 69DBSFABEFP FB7B, KFB EG@@4 6OC46LB6
A9 5B?PL9
4?

484K4 2.

; 12 >DOE 8 CB?GKBFBDGR 8B;G B5?GK9AB64 69DBSFABEFP FB7B, KFB <;
6 A4G84KG 6O5D4AAOI >DOE 4 B5?GK9AO?

484K4 3.

9DBSFABEFP FB7B, KFB CD<:<6ёFES E4:9A9J 7DGL< –
0,7, S5?BA< –
0,8. #BE48B8AB@G E4:9AJG S5?BA< < 7DGL<. !4=F< 69DBSFABEFP FB7B, KFB B54 E4:9AJ4 CD<:<6GFES.

484K4 4.

"F 4QDB6B>;4?4 BFCD46 FD4C4@ E4@B?ёFB6. 9DBSFABEF<
CD<5OF4:8B7B 0,95. !4=F< 69DBSFABEFP FB7B, KFB 6B6D9@S CD<8ёF IBFS 5O
B8
484K4 5.

&D< EFD9?>4 CDB<;6B8SF CB B8AB@G 6OEFD9?G CB @8?S C9D6B7B EFD9?>4 0,5, 8?S 6FBDB7B –
0,8, 8?S FD9FP97B –
0,3. !4=F< 69DBSFABEFP, KFB 6
@
484K4 6.

%5BDM<> CB?GK49F 45% 89F4?9= ;46B84 №1, 30% –
;46B84 №2, BEF4?PAO9 –
E ;46B84
№3. 9DBSFABEFP FB7B, KFB 89F4?P C9D6B7B ;46B84 BF?4K9EF64 –
0,7, 8?S 89F4?9=
6FBDB7B < FD9FP97B ;46B8B6 QF< 69DBSFABEF< D46AO EBBF69FEF69AAB 0,8 < 0,9. !4=F<
69DBSFABEFP, KFB A4G84KG 6;SF4S E5BDM<>B@ 89F4?P B>4:9FES BF?4K9EF64. 4>B64
69DBSFABEFP, KFB 6;SF4S A4G84KG 89F4?P, B>4;46L4SES BF?4K9EF64, <;7BFB6?9A4
;46B8B@ №1?

" 03 "

$!& 19
484K4 1.

CBCG?SJ<< 8DB;BHD4E>G, 5 –
KёDAGR, 4 <; 15
E4@B> 12 <@9RF E9DGR B>D4E>G, 3 –
KёDAGR. #D98CB?474S E>D9M<64A<9 E?GK4=AO@, A4=F<
69DBSFABEFP KёDAB= C4DO.

484K4 2.

CBCG?SJ<< <; 30 C?B8B6OI @GL9> 10 <@9RF >D4EAO9 7?4;4. !4G84KG 6O5@GL9>. 4>B64 69DBSFABEFP FB7B, KFB B8A4 <; AD4EAO9 7?4;4?

484K4 3.

9DBSFABEFP CSF4:8B= <; 4 89F4?9= ;9DABG5BDBKAB7B >B@54=A4
D46A4 EBBF69FEF69AAB 0,5; 0,6; 0,7; 0,9. "CD989?B@54=A 6 J9?B@
CDBE?G:
484K4 4.

?S B8AB7B EFD9?>4 69DBSFABEFP 6O5B6 ;4 B869DBSFABEFP 6O5B6 –
0,3, 8 < @9A99 BK>B6 –
0,6. !4=F< 69DBSFABEFP FB7B, KFB ;4
B8 6O5P9F A9 @9A99 9 BK>B6.

484K4 5.

GDA9 5 59?OI < 4 KёDAOI L4D4. ; GDAO A4G748 B8<;6?9>4RF L4DO. !4=F< 69DBSFABEFP FB7B,
KFB 6FBDB= CB CBDS8>G L4D 5G89F 59?O@.

484K4 6.

16
#B J9?< CDB<;6B84:8B@.
9DBSFABEFP GA0,6, CD< FDёI –
0,9. 4>B64 69DBSFABEFP, KFB 5O?B
B8AB CBC484A<9, 9E?< J9?P GA

жүктеу/скачать 2,08 Mb.

Достарыңызбен бөлісу:

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 ... 14