Table 10.5
Significance test for correlation between task motivation (science) and level of
cognitive development
AnAlysing QuAntitAtive DAtA
201
there is in fact a relationship or not, and we have to make the best judgement we can
based on the data we have on the balance of probabilities. These probabilities can
only be calculated by starting from a position that the variables are not related. A
slightly different starting point is taken when we are looking at differences between
groups, which is described below. However, it is the case that the calculations con-
ducted in any statistical test involve calculating probabilities to enable the person
running the test to make a judgement call. This is why the outcomes of the calcula-
tions made are referred to as inferential statistics and the tests themselves are often
called significance tests.
The entity calculated in a test of correlation to quantify the relationship between
the two variables of interest is a correlation coefficient. The statistical test enables me
to judge whether this is significant (i.e. the balance of probabilities is that there is a
relationship between motivation and cognitive development). At this point, I have
several choices of correlation coefficients to calculate, dependent on the measure-
ment level and distribution of my variables. If you intend to use inferential statistics,
you will need to read up on this in more detail, as all I am doing here is giving an
introduction to this area. Specifically, you can choose to do either a parametric or non-
parametric test. The former is generally preferred because it is more powerful and
sensitive to your data, however it also makes certain assumptions about your data. For
reasons there isn’t the space here to explain, my data are acceptable for a parametric
test, hence I need to calculate the appropriate correlation coefficient, a Pearson cor-
relation coefficient, and then look at the significance test results. In SPSS, this proce-
dure is conducted in the ‘correlate’ option of the analyse menu. The results for the test
of correlation between level of cognitive development and task motivation (science)
scores are shown in Table 10.5.
Table 12.5 Significance test for correlation between task motivation (science) and level of cognitive
development
Level of Cognitive
Development
Task Motivation
(science)
Level of Cognitive
development
Pearson Correlation
1
−.043
Sig. (two-tailed)
104
N
1723
1428
Task motivation
(science)
Pearson Correlation
−.043
1
Sig. (two-tailed)
104
N
1428
1428
Initially, this may look a little confusing because the same information is repeated in
the table. What we are interested in is the relationship between the level of cognitive
13-Wilson-Ch-12.indd 201
8/31/2012 5:41:41 PM
Initially, this may look a little confusing because the same information is repeated in the
table. What we are interested in is the relationship between the level of cognitive develop-
ment and task motivation (science). If you look in the relevant quadrant (top
right or bottom left), you can see the correlation coefficient, significance figure and
number of students whose data contributed to calculating the statistic (1428). The
correlation coefficient -0.043 is practically zero. As correlation coefficients range from
-1 (strong negative correlation) through zero (no correlation) to +1 (strong positive
correlation), this indicates that there is no relationship between the level of cognitive
development and task motivation, which is contrary to initial predictions (but perhaps
not that surprising having seen the scatter diagram previously). The significance figure
tells you the probability that you would have obtained the correlation coefficient of
-0.043 if cognitive development and task motivation were not related in real life beyond
my study. Hence, there is a probability of 0.104 (which you can transform into a percent-
Analysing Quantitative Data
498
age by multiplying by 100 – so 10.4%) that my correlation coefficient of -0.043 would
have arisen by chance when there is no relationship between these two variables.
Although a 10% chance might sound quite low to a newcomer to this approach, in fact
that is still reasonably likely. Consequently, we conclude that there is no evidence to
deviate from the status quo that cognitive development and task motivation are not
related. In fact, a rule of thumb is that in this type of test (a two-tailed test – again,
I won’t say more but you can look this up), you would have to have a probability of less
than 2.5% before you would make a judgement call that the two variables might be
related. Even then we don’t know for sure one way or the other, so you are never able
to couch your conclusions in definitive terms.
2. Tests of difference
As with tests of correlation, there are different types of tests of difference available to
suit the characteristics of the data you have (relating to the measurement level and
distribution of the variable under consideration). If we conduct a parametric test of
difference (because the data are appropriate, as noted in the previous section), then
we compare the mean score of each group on the variable of interest. So, for
instance, if we want to know whether girls and boys differ in their scores on the task
motivation scale, we compare the mean scores of girls and boys on this scale. The
entity calculated in the comparison process is called the t statistic and the test itself
is referred to as a t-test. Here, the assumption underlying the calculations of the
t statistic is that there is no difference between the two groups under consideration
(i.e. boys and girls).
In SPSS, t-tests are accessed via the ‘compare means’ option in the analyse menu.
Although we are conducting a parametric test, there are different ways of comparing
means, and this is reflected in the choice in the ‘compare means’ procedure. Because
we are comparing two different groups (boys and girls) on a particular variable (task
motivation), this is an independent samples test. This is in contrast to a situation
where you might be comparing the same people on two different variables (for instance, in
my study, I compared students’ scores on each of the motivation scales at the start and end
of the two-year study to see whether they had changed), which would require the use of a
repeated measures test. You also need to specify which groups you are comparing (under
‘define groups’), which you do by inserting the codes you created for the groups you want
to compare (in my case, 1 and 2, representing boys and girls respectively). The reason you
need to specify groups is because it may be that you have more than two groups for a
particular variable in the database (for instance, I might want to compare task motivation
scores from two of my nine schools). The results of the test are shown in Table 12.6.
Analysing Quantitative Data
499
AnAlysing QuAntitAtive DAtA
203
instance, in my study, I compared students’ scores on each of the motivation scales at
the start and end of the two-year study to see whether they had changed), which
would require the use of a repeated measures test. You also need to specify which
groups you are comparing (under ‘define groups’), which you do by inserting the
codes you created for the groups you want to compare (in my case, 1 and 2, represent-
ing boys and girls respectively). The reason you need to specify groups is because it
may be that you have more than two groups for a particular variable in the database
(for instance, I might want to compare task motivation scores from two of my nine
schools). The results of the test are shown in Table 12.6.
Table 12.6 Significance test for the difference between boys and girls on the task motivation
(science) scale
Group Statistics
Gender
N
Mean
Std Deviation
Std Error Mean
Task
motivation
(science)
Boys
625
25.0224
3.65273
.14611
Girls
803
24.9763
3.57090
.12601
Independent Samples Test
Levene’s
Test for
Equality of
Variances
t-test for Equality of Means
95% Confidence
Interval of the
Difference
F.
Sig
t
df
Sig.
(two-tailed)
Mean
Difference
Std. Error
Difference Lower Upper
Task
motivation
Equal
variances
assumed
.101 .750 .239 1426
.811
.04606
.19240
-.33136 .42348
Equal
variances
not
assumed
.239 1326.515
.811
.04606
.19294
-.33245 .42457
The top part of the table shows descriptive statistics, which is handy because we
hadn’t found out in advance what the mean scores for boys and girls are on the task
motivation scale (although normally in this sort of analysis you would start by looking
at the descriptive statistics before conducting statistical tests). As might be expected,
the mean scores for boys and girls are not exactly the same. In fact, boys (with a mean
score of 25.02) overall record slightly higher scores than girls (with a mean score of
24.98), which is not what was expected. To see whether these small differences are
statistically different, we need to look at the lower part of the table.
13-Wilson-Ch-12.indd 203
8/31/2012 5:41:41 PM
Table 10.6
Significance test for the difference between boys and girls on the task motiva-
tion (science) scale
The top part of the table shows descriptive statistics, which is handy because we hadn’t
found out in advance what the mean scores for boys and girls are on the task motivation
scale (although normally in this sort of analysis you would start by looking at the descrip-
tive statistics before conducting statistical tests). As might be expected, the mean scores for
boys and girls are not exactly the same. In fact, boys (with a mean score of 25.02) overall
record slightly higher scores than girls (with a mean score of 24.98), which is not what was
expected. To see whether these small differences are statistically different, we need to look
at the lower part of the table.
Although there is a lot of information given, for the purpose of this introduction,
you only need to focus on two figures: the t value and the second ‘sig’ (significance)
value. There are two variants for each and the one that is appropriate to interpret
again depends on the characteristics of the data (in this case, whether the amount of
variation in the girls’ scores is as great as that in the boys’, which for these data is a
fair assumption – again, you would need to read up more on this). Hence, assuming
equal variances, we need to focus on the top figure in each case. The calculated
t value is 0.239. Unlike the correlation coefficient, this in itself doesn’t tell you much
about the difference between boys’ and girls’ scores, except to say that the larger this
value, the bigger the difference between the groups. The significance value (0.811),
however, tells us how likely it is that we would have got a t value of 0.239 if there
was no difference between boys and girls. Therefore, in this case, the probability of
Analysing Quantitative Data
500
getting a t value of 0.239 if there was no difference between boys and girls is 81.1%,
i.e. very likely. Using the same benchmark as before (i.e. we would have to have a
probability of less than 2.5% for a two-tailed test), there is clearly no evidence to
depart from the status quo of no difference. So our conclusion would be that there
is insufficient evidence from these data to suggest that boys and girls differ in their
task motivation.
The purpose of this chapter has been to introduce some statistical techniques,
and to show you how to use a widely available statistical program to do this.
Inevitably, this has been a real rattle through some quite complicated ideas, and
some details have been glossed over. However, hopefully, you feel you’ve grasped
some of the basics and have the confidence to follow these ideas up by consulting
one or more of the texts listed under Further Reading. If so, the chapter has served
its purpose.
Key Ideas
• Don’t be scared of statistical analysis – even if maths was a mystery at
school, you can do this – anyone can – you just need to know some basics.
• Note that use of a specialist program, such as SPSS, means you do not
need to be a specialist at number crunching, however you still need to
understand what is going on to ensure you conduct the most appropriate
analysis to answer your research questions.
• Spend time setting up your database properly by allocating an identifier and
relevant demographic variables and defining characteristics of your variables,
and allocating values for missing data; and always deal with ambiguous data
consistently.
• Always clean your data before starting on statistical analysis to ensure any
input errors are removed.
• Start your analysis by examining the frequency distributions through
producing frequency distribution tables and, where appropriate, histograms.
Look at the relationships between variables measured on scales by plotting
scatter diagrams.
• Calculate descriptive statistics to summarize and describe the frequency
distributions. Only then, use inferential statistics to test whether: there is a
relationship between two variables, or there is a difference between two
groups on a particular variable.
Analysing Quantitative Data
501
• Test relationships between variables using a test of correlation, by calculating
a correlation coefficient.
• Test differences between groups on a variable using a test of difference, by
calculating a t value.
• Remember that you can only conclude that you have evidence to reject the
default position (of no relationship/no difference) if your significance figure
is less than 2.5% for a two-tailed test.
Reflective questions
1. How will you analyse the data? Think about analysis and plan this before you
collect the data so you can be sure that the data you gather can answer the
questions you want to ask.
2. Which discrete categories (such as low, average and high) will you chose for
a variable such as ability, from data that has been assessed on a continuous
scale (such as scores on NFER Cognitive Ability Tests)? Remember you
can’t do the reverse. So, if in doubt, collect data at the highest level of
measurement possible.
3. Don’t forget that you tell the computer program what to do. It just follows
your instructions. So if you put rubbish in, you’ll get rubbish out!
Further Reading
Cohen, L., Manion, L. and Morrison, K. (2011) Research Methods in Education (7th edn).
London: RoutledgeFalmer.
Brace, N., Kemp, R. and Snelgar, R. (2009) SPSS for Psychologists (4th edn). Basingstoke:
Palgrave Macmillan.
Coolican, H. (2009) Research Methods and Statistics in Psychology (5th edn). London:
Hodder & Stoughton.
Field, A. (2009) Discovering Statistics Using SPSS (3rd edn). London: Sage (Introducing
Statistical Methods series). See also http://www.statisticshell.com/html/dsus.html
and accompanying student video clips http://www.sagepub.com/field3e/SPSS
studentmovies.htm (accessed April 2012).
Howitt, D. and Cramer, D. (2007) Introduction to Statistics in Psychology (3rd edn).
Harlow: Pearson Education Limited.
Muijs, D. (2010) Doing Quantitative Research in Education With SPSS. London: Sage.
Sani, F. and Todman, J. (2008) Experimental Design and Statistics for Psychology (2nd edn).
Oxford: Blackwell Publishing.
Analysing Quantitative Data
502
APPENDIX ONE: MOTIVATION QUESTIONNAIRE
AnAlysing QuAntitAtive DAtA
207
Appendix one: motivation questionnaire
Name: ....Ros McLellan………………
Date of Birth: …25/07/96....................…
School: …KTS………………………
Science Teacher: …class 1………..................……
Date: …...13/09/07…………………
Boy or Girl: …girl……………….......................
I am going to ask you some questions about your experience of school. There are no right or wrong answers. Please
answer all the questions as honestly as you can. Your teachers will not see your answers.
For each question decide whether you: 1 – strongly disagree, 2 – disagree, 3 – neither agree or disagree, 4 – agree,
or 5 – strongly agree.
For each question cross the answer that is closest to what you think.
For example:
Baked beans taste good
1 X 3 4 5
This person doesn’t really like the taste of baked beans. That is why 2 is crossed, which is disagree.
Another example:
Tottenham Hotspur are great
1 2 3 4 X
This person is a big Spurs fan. 5 is crossed, which is strongly agree.
First of all I want you to think about WHEN you feel you’ve had a really SUCCESSFUL day at school.
Please answer the following questions and remember:
1 – strongly disagree, 2 – disagree, 3 – neither agree or disagree,
4 – agree, 5 – strongly agree.
1) I feel successful when I don’t have to work hard
In school generally
In science
In English
1
X
3
4
5
1
X
3
4
5
1
2
X
4
5
2) I feel successful when I learn something interesting
In school generally
In science
In English
1
2
3
4
X
1
2
3
X
5
1
2
X
4
5
3) I feel successful when I show people that I’m clever
In school generally
In science
In English
1
X
3
4
5
1
2
X
4
5
1
2
X
4
5
13-Wilson-Ch-12.indd 207
8/31/2012 5:41:43 PM
Analysing Quantitative Data
503
SCHOOL-BASED RESEARCH
208
Remember:
1 – strongly disagree, 2 – disagree,
3 – neither agree or disagree, 4 – agree, 5 – strongly agree.
4) I feel successful when I do almost no work and get away with it
In school generally
In science
In English
X
2
3
4
5
X
2
3
4
5
X
2
3
4
5
5) I feel successful when people don’t think I’m thick
In school generally
In science
In English
1
2
3
X
5
1
2
3
X
5
1
2
3
X
5
6) I feel successful when I solve a tricky problem by working hard
In school generally
In science
In English
1
2
3
X
5
1
2
3
X
5
1
2
3
X
5
7) I feel successful when I’m the only one who can answer the teacher’s questions
In school generally
In science
In English
1
2
3
X
5
1
2
3
X
5
1
2
3
4
X
8) I feel successful when I don’t have to do any homework
In school generally
In science
In English
1
X
3
4
5
1
2
X
4
5
1
2
X
4
5
9) I feel successful when I do well without trying
In school generally
In science
In English
1
X
3
4
5
1
X
3
4
5
1
X
3
4
5
10) I feel successful when a lesson makes me think about things
In school generally
In science
In English
1
2
3
X
5
1
2
3
X
5
1
2
3
X
5
13-Wilson-Ch-12.indd 208
8/31/2012 5:41:43 PM
Analysing Quantitative Data
504
AnAlysing QuAntitAtive DAtA
209
Remember:
1 – strongly disagree, 2 – disagree,
3 – neither agree or disagree, 4 – agree, 5 – strongly agree.
11) I feel successful when I tell a teacher a fib and get away with it
In school generally
In science
In English
X
2
3
4
5
X
2
3
4
5
X
2
3
4
5
12) I feel successful when I don’t have any difficult tests
In school generally
In science
In English
1
X
3
4
5
1
X
3
4
5
1
X
3
4
5
13) I feel successful when I do better work than other pupils
In school generally
In science
In English
1
2
X
4
5
1
2
X
4
5
1
2
X
4
5
14) I feel successful when I don’t do anything stupid in class
In school generally
In science
In English
1
2
X
4
5
1
2
X
4
5
1
X
3
4
5
15) I feel successful when I work hard all day
In school generally
In science
In English
1
2
3
4
X
1
2
3
4
X
1
2
3
4
X
16) I feel successful when I mess around and get away with it
In school generally
In science
In English
1
X
3
4
5
1
X
3
4
5
1
2
3
X
5
17) I feel successful when I get higher marks than other pupils
In school generally
In science
In English
1
2
3
4
X
1
2
3
4
X
1
2
3
4
X
13-Wilson-Ch-12.indd 209
8/31/2012 5:41:43 PM
Analysing Quantitative Data
505
SCHOOL-BASED RESEARCH
210
Remember:
1 – strongly disagree, 2 – disagree,
3 – neither agree or disagree, 4 – agree, 5 – strongly agree.
18) I feel successful when teachers don’t ask me any hard questions
In school generally
In science
In English
1
2
X
4
5
1
2
X
4
5
1
2
X
4
5
19) I feel successful when I get good marks on a test without studying
In school generally
In science
In English
1
X
3
4
5
1
X
3
4
5
1
X
3
4
5
20) I feel successful when I finally understand a really complicated idea
In school generally
In science
In English
1
2
3
4
X
1
2
3
4
X
1
2
3
4
X
21) I feel successful when other pupils get things wrong and I don’t
In school generally
In science
In English
1
X
3
4
5
1
X
3
4
5
1
X
3
4
5
13-Wilson-Ch-12.indd 210
8/31/2012 5:41:43 PM
Analysing Quantitative Data
506
Analysing Quantitative Data
507
АНАЛИЗ КОЛИЧЕСТВЕННЫХ ДАННЫХ
Достарыңызбен бөлісу: |